Sunday 1 January 2023

The more we delve into the past, the more we can see the future.

 In the current technological advance civilization, the more we delve into the past, the more we can see the future.


Based on such premise, the modern world is facinated about the new technology for instance there is a craze about the newest iPhone that we can set our eyes on.


However, technology will reach a level whereby there will not be much difference between the previous and latest model, whereby, handphone that is smaller than our palm will not be technologically feasible. Maybe a phone watch or hologram phone will be more feadible with satelite communication present in the film terminator. 


Back to commerce, paper currency make it easier for us to fulfil all our needs and wants.


However, digital currency will take over paper currency with the might of google pay, samsung pay, apple pay or touch and go.


With the demise of the paper currency and adoptation of digital currency, civilization will change forever.


One group of people, will then adopt crypto sooner or later as no more will our money be in control of central bank or the government. This will happen to the masses. 


Another group of people will be reminiscent of the past and collect paper currency as an art. The rich and mighty are advent art collector because art is rare and price increase from time to time.


There will be a time, whereby central bank will stop producing paper currency all together and we will be force to digitalise our currency. When that time occur paper currency will be an art and their price rise tremendously. 


Take for example raleigh bicycle or motorcycle with pedals in the 1940s, when they become obsolete the price rise tremendously. An antique pedal bike can worth 50k in today's money. Same with antique radio, iron and gramma phone.


Therefore, the more we delve into the past the more we can predict the future. 


Bless is those who can predict the future accurately and win. 


Bless 2023,


Dr. Lion

A thing is worth how much a buyer willing to pay.

 Adam Smith coin the adage, "A thing is worth how much a buyer willing to pay."


Based on the premise, lets us see all the asset class that we posses and the valuation of those asset. 


Say, we are an investor. Our nominator is stock and our denominator is ringgit. If stock drop, ringgit will go up. 


If ringgit go down, foreign currency, gold, silver and crypto respectively will go up.


If foreign currency will go down, US dollar will go up.


If US dollar go up, then recession will set in and Quantitative Easing will happen when there is recession. 


With Quantitative Easing, US dollar and interest rates will drop, this will spur the growth cycle and more commerce and trading activity will be in demand. 


With demand, people will be richer and they buy more goods, more stock and inflationary goods such as Gold, Silver, house, automobile and antique will be more in demand. 


Then the cycle of stock-ringgit-foreign currency-USD-inflationary goods will repeat itself. 


Moral of the story: Those who can predict the trend of the market win. 


The more we delve into the past the more we can see the future.


Bless 2023,


Dr. Lion